Research Institute Takuma Industry Research Institute stated that since LED lighting products are limited by factors such as unqualified lamps, insufficient bulb brightness, LED light shapes that are different from traditional lighting products, and excessive product unit prices, global LED lighting in 2011 (Contains LED light sources, LED lamps, and related components) The output growth is slow, estimated at only 8.7 billion U.S. dollars, and it is expected to grow to 11 billion U.S. dollars in 2012, an increase of 26% year-on-year; The rate is nearly 20%.
LED lighting has grown slowly in recent years, but since 2012, with the governments of various countries pursuing incandescent lamp policies, the LED lighting industry has established its future. Takuya believes that after the incandescent period has arrived, the application market will give priority to the development of outdoor lighting, commercial lighting, industrial lighting, automotive lighting rankings, and finally into the home market, the final key to the LED layout lighting market in the next 4 years period.
Tuo pointed out that due to the characteristics of high color rendering, high plasticity and other characteristics of LED light sources, the penetration rate of outdoor lighting and outdoor display screens has reached 90%. With the subsidy policy for street lamps, LED outdoor lighting has also grown faster. For other types of lighting.
Different from the rapid development of outdoor lighting, Takuya believes that LED household lighting is the most hampered. Expensive and insufficient brightness will become the biggest factor hindering the development of the market. Therefore, the overall LED lighting penetration rate will be the first to face a 20% bottleneck. Once it breaks, it will There is explosive growth.
However, Takuma reminded that since LED lighting products have a service life of up to 20,000 hours, they need to be replaced in about 8 to 10 years. Therefore, when the LED lighting penetration rate reaches 40%, the market will once again face a long replacement cycle, which will result in weak demand. The dilemma of growth is estimated to be gradually entering the market maturity period after 2016.
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